2024 PGA Championship picks, odds, field: Surprising predictions by advanced golf model that nailed 11 majors (2024)

Brooks Koepka will begin his title defense when the 2024 PGA Championship gets underway on Thursday, May 16, at Valhalla Golf Club. Koepka, who finished two strokes ahead of Scottie Scheffler and Viktor Hovland last year to record his fifth major championship, will try to repeat as champion for the second time in his career (2018-19). Tiger Woods, meanwhile, will attempt to match Jack Nicklaus and Walter Hagen for most victories (five) at the PGA Championship. Scheffler, the reigning Masters champion and the No. 1-ranked player in the world, is the 3-1 favorite in the latest 2024 PGA Championship odds. He's followed by Rory McIlroy (6-1) and Koepka (10-1) on the PGA odds board.

Should your 2024 PGA Championship picks include backing one of the favorites, or should you target a longshot like Woods (125-1) or Jordan Spieth (55-1)? Before locking in any 2024 PGA Championship picks of your own, entering PGA DFS lineups on sites like DraftKings or FanDuel, or finalizing PGA Championship props and PGA Championship Pick Six entries, be sure to see the 2024 PGA Championship golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up almost $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

McClure's model correctly predicted Scottie Scheffler would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2024 Masters, the Arnold Palmer Invitational, and The Players Championship this season. McClure also included Hideki Matsuyama in his best bets to win the 2024 Genesis Invitational. That bet hit at +9000, and for the entire tournament, McClure's best bets returned nearly $1,000.

Top 2024 PGA Championship predictions

One major surprise the model is calling for at the 2024 PGA Championship: Brooks Koepka, a three-time PGA champion and one of the top favorites, stumbles and doesn't even crack the top 10. Koepka has five major tournament wins on his resume and a reputation for elevating his level of play in big events. However, his last two major starts haven't gone well as he was 45th at the Masters, which followed a 64th-place finish at last year's Open Championship. He's failed to shoot par in each of his last seven rounds at major tournaments.

After notching three tournament wins in 2023, including last year's PGA Championship, it has been tough sledding for Koepka in 2024. He has no victories, or even top-fives, and across his six starts, he has three times as many finishes outside the top 25 (three) as he has inside the top 10 (one). He played Valhalla at the 2014 PGA Championship and finished in a tie for 15th place, but that placement ranks just eighth out of his 11 career PGA Championship starts. See who else to fade here.

Another surprise: Collin Morikawa, a 25-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Morikawa won his first major championship at the PGA Championship in 2020. He's racked up six career victories on the PGA Tour, which includes two major championships.

The 27-year-old will also enter the 2024 PGA Championship full of confidence after securing a top-10 finish in two of his last three individual starts on the PGA Tour, including a third-place showing at the Masters in April. Morikawa is currently ranked second in driving accuracy (78.77%), 12th in one-putt percentage (43.97%) and 18th in birdie average (4.31), making him a strong value pick for your 2024 PGA Championship bets, according to the model.See who else to back here.

How to make 2024 PGA Championship picks

The model is also targeting four other golfers with odds of 25-1 or longer to make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model's picks here.

Who will win the 2024 PGA Championship, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the PGA Championship 2024 odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected PGA Championship leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 11 golf majors, including the last three Masters.

2024 PGA Championship odds, field

Get full 2024 PGA Championship picks, best bets, and predictions here

Scottie Scheffler +300
Rory McIlroy +600
Brooks Koepka +1000
Xander Schauffele +1200
Ludvig Aberg +1200
Jon Rahm +1400
Joaquin Niemann +2500
Collin Morikawa +2500
Bryson DeChambeau +2500
Wyndham Clark +2500
Patrick Cantlay +2800
Cameron Smith +3300
Max Homa +3300
Viktor Hovland +3500
Hideki Matsuyama +3500
Will Zalatoris +4000
Justin Thomas +4000
Tommy Fleetwood +4500
Dustin Johnson +4500
Cameron Young +5000
Jason Day +5000
Matt Fitzpatrick +5000
Tyrrell Hatton +5000
Jordan Spieth +5500
Tony Finau +5500
Patrick Reed +6000
Byeong Hun An +6000
Sam Burns +6000
Shane Lowry +6000
Tom Kim +6000
Sungjae Im +6500
Dean Burmester +6500
Sahith Theegala +6500
Abraham Ancer +7000
Min Woo Lee +7500
Brian Harman +7500
Talor Gooch +8000
Keegan Bradley +8500
Akshay Bhatia +8500
Russell Henley +8500
Adam Scott +8500
Sepp Straka +8500
Si Woo Kim +9000
Tiger Woods +12500
David Puig +12500
Corey Conners +12500
Rickie Fowler +12500
Stephan Jaeger +12500
Denny McCarthy +12500
Phil Mickelson +12500
Jake Knapp +12500
Chris Kirk +12500
Billy Horschel +12500
Sergio Garcia +12500
Taylor Pendrith +12500
Adrian Meronk +12500
Austin Eckroat +15000
Mackenzie Hughes +15000
Alex Noren +15000
Harris English +15000
Matthieu Pavon +15000
Ryan Fox +15000
Adrian Otaegui +15000
Justin Rose +17500
Adam Schenk +17500
Keith Mitchell +17500
Mito Pereira +17500
Kurt Kitayama +17500
Daniel Berger +17500
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +17500
Emiliano Grillo +17500
Lucas Herbert +17500
Tom Hoge +17500
Victor Perez +17500
Erik Van Rooyen +17500
Lucas Glover +17500
Nicolai Hojgaard +20000
Eric Cole +20000
Jordan Smith +20000
Thomas Pieters +20000
J.T. Poston +20000
Thomas Detry +22500
Ryan Van Velzen +22500
Cam Davis +22500
Thriston Lawrence +22500
Beau Hossler +22500
Aaron Rai +22500
Ben Griffin +22500
Nick Taylor +22500
Alex Smalley +22500
Brendon Todd +25000
Maverick McNealy +25000
Luke List +25000
Nick Dunlap +25000
Davis Riley +25000
Adam Hadwin +25000
Marc Leishman +25000
Seamus Power +25000
Ryo Hisatsune +27500
Matt Wallace +27500
Andrew Putnam +27500
Andy Ogletree +27500
Patrick Rodgers +30000
Doug Ghim +30000
Taylor Moore +30000
Sebastian Soderberg +30000
Adam Svensson +30000
Rasmus Hojgaard +30000
Robert MacIntyre +30000
Gary Woodland +30000
Lee Hodges +30000
Ben Kohles +30000
K.H. Lee +30000
Camillo Villegas +35000
Alejandro Tosti +35000
Taylor Montgomery +35000
Vincent Norrman +35000
Jesper Svensson +35000
Tim Widing +35000
Charley Hoffman +40000
Mark Hubbard +40000
Keita Nakajima +40000
Zac Blair +50000
Francisco Molinari +50000
Joel Dahmen +50000
Peter Malnati +50000
Sami Valimaki +50000
Takumi Kanaya +50000
Grayson Murray +50000
Alexander Bjork +50000
Martin Kaymer +75000
Kazuma Kobori +75000
Brice Garnett +75000
Michael Block +75000
Padraig Harrington +75000
Luke Donald +75000
Jimmy Walker +75000
Y.E. Yang +100000
Jason Dufner +100000
John Daly +150000
Wyatt Worthington IV +150000
Tyler Collet +200000
Matt Dobyns +200000
Josh Speight +200000
Braden Shattuk +200000
Brad Marek +200000
Tracy Phillips +200000
Evan Bowser +200000
Josh Bevell +200000
Larkin Gross +200000
Rich Beem +200000
Zac Oakley +200000
Jeremy Wells +200000
Preston Cole +200000
John Somers +200000
Ben Polland +200000
Kyle Mendoza +200000
Jared Jones +200000
Shaun Micheel +200000
Jeff Kellen +200000
Jesse Mueller +200000
Andy Svoboda +200000

2024 PGA Championship picks, odds, field: Surprising predictions by advanced golf model that nailed 11 majors (2024)

FAQs

Who is predicted to win the U.S. Open in 2024? ›

2024 U.S. Open expert picks, predictions. Winner: Scottie Scheffler (3-1): Who else? If each win to this point has made his season more historic, this one will make it the most historic. First golfer since Tiger Woods to win six times in a year, including a major.

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What is the name of the male golfer who has won the most majors? ›

Jack Nicklaus: The Golden Bear

Jack Nicklaus holds the record for the most major championship victories in golf history. He won six Masters, four U.S. Opens, three Open Championships and five PGA Championships, In these tournaments, he also collected 19 runner-up finishes. Nicklaus' major wins span 25 years.

Learn More Now ›

Who won the U.S. Open golf 2024 today? ›

Bryson DeChambeau won the 2024 U.S. Open on Sunday for the second time with the best shot of his life for another memorable finish on the 18th hole at Pinehurst No. 2 — and another heavy dose of heartache for Rory McIlroy.

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What is it called when you win all the majors in golf? ›

The Grand Slam in professional golf means winning all of golf's major championships: The Masters Tournament, U.S. Open Championship, The Open Championship and U.S. PGA Championship. Nobody managed to win classic Grand Slam.

Is Tiger Woods playing in the U.S. Open 2024? ›

Other than those huge names, all eyes are once again on Tiger Woods, who is playing his first U.S. Open since 2020 and seeking to make the cut for the first time since 2019 (and second time since 2013). Tiger battled Thursday and will be fighting against the cutline Friday.

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Who missed the cut at the 2024 U.S. Open? ›

2024 U.S. Open missed cuts: Tiger Woods, Justin Thomas, Viktor Hovland among stars out at Pinehurst No. 2.

Read The Full Story ›

Has anyone won all four majors in one year? ›

Grand Slam achievers. The first player to win all four majors in a calendar year and thus complete the Grand Slam was Don Budge in 1938. To date, five singles players (two men, three women), nine doubles players (four men, five women) and one junior (boy) have completed a Grand Slam.

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Who is the only male golfer to win four consecutive majors? ›

Tiger Woods came closest to winning a modern Grand Slam by holding all four major titles at the same time. He won all four major championships consecutively — the U.S. Open, Open Championship, and PGA Championship in 2000, and the 2001 Masters — but not in the same calendar year. This has been called the Tiger Slam.

How much did Bryson get for winning the U.S. Open? ›

Up-and-down from 55 yards for the @USOpenGolf title. As a result, DeChambeau is taking home a massive $4.3 million check. The U.S. Open offered a record $21.5 million purse this year, which marked the largest ever put up in a men's major championship in history.

Who one the US opens in 2024? ›

DeChambeau won his second U.S. Open title on Sunday by getting up-and-down from 55 yards in a bunker — one of the toughest shots in golf — to deliver another unforgettable finish at Pinehurst and a celebration just as raucous as when his hero, Payne Stewart, won with a big par putt in 1999.

What is an albatross in golf? ›

An albatross, often called a "double eagle," occurs when a golfer completes a hole three strokes under its designated par. In other words, if you manage to sink the ball in two strokes on a par-5 hole, you've achieved an albatross. It's an incredibly rare and impressive feat in the world of golf, and for good reason.

Which major did Arnold Palmer not win? ›

Even though Palmer eclipsed that seven-figure milestone at the 1968 PGA Championship, it was a bittersweet achievement. He lost the tournament by one stroke to Julius Boros, and that would be as close as he would come to winning a PGA Championship. It is the only major he's never won.